← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Regensburg win | 18% | 5.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 63' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Malick Thiaw · FC Schalke 04 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Reinhold Ranftl · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 341.00 | 1680.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1551.69 | 1464.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.94 | -30.75 |
| eye test v1 | 1.37 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 13.71 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 26.72 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |