← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Feb 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 56% | 1.71 |
| Hannover +0 | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Niklas Hult · Heidenheim |
| 28' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Heidenheim |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mark Diemers · Hannover |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
| 35' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 48' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5270.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1514.60 | 1438.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.04 | 16.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 34.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 13.21 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |