← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Dresden win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Dresden −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Dresden |
| 51' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Michael Akoto · Dresden |
| 72' | 🟨 | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 84' | 🟨 | Michael Akoto · Dresden |
| 84' | 🟥 | Michael Akoto · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 53.00 | 784.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1440.68 | 1406.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.62 | 5.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 25.69 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |