← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 23% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 +0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Andreas Vindheim · FC Schalke 04 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sören Gonther · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 36' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 38' | ⚽ | Andreas Vindheim · FC Schalke 04 |
| 39' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 51' | ⚽ | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 54' | 🟨 | Malcolm Cacutalua · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 63' | ⚽ | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 72' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| Marvin Pieringer · FC Schalke 04 |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 82.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1383.68 | 1536.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.22 | 14.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 13.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 23.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 27.00 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |