← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.89 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| SV Werder Bremen +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Leonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marco Schuster · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Philipp Klement · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 35' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 38' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 56' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen |
| 66' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Anthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen |
| 84' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 19 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ömer Toprak · SV Werder Bremen |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 205.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1537.74 | 1586.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.83 | 35.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 30.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.16 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |