← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 41% | 2.40 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Regensburg +0.25 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 33' | ⚽ | Leon Guwara · Regensburg |
| 52' | ⚽ | Carlo Boukhalfa · Regensburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Charlison Benschop · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 137.00 | 1660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1391.24 | 1458.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.34 | -38.74 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 17.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 29.79 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.25 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |