← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Ingolstadt win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Ingolstadt −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 27' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 30' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 47' | ⚽ | Christian Gebauer · Ingolstadt |
| 51' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
| 65' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Ingolstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dominik Franke · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5251.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1511.87 | 1383.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.69 | 4.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| league points | 30.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 35.40 |
| rest days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -2.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 28.21 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -1.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |