← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.31 |
| Karlsruhe win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Darmstadt −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Klaus Gjasula · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 51' | ⚽ | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 71' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 198.00 | 714.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1604.14 | 1483.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.43 | -0.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| league points | 35.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 27.29 | 27.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 28.59 |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |