← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 19% | 5.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | 🟥 | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen |
| 66' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Werder Bremen | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | wohninvest WESERSTADION |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 75.00 | 745.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1574.76 | 1508.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.95 | -19.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 27.00 | 28.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.56 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |