← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Jan 14, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | ⚽ | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 73' | 🟨 | Thomas Meissner · Hansa Rostock |
| 78' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 1109.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1385.54 | 1430.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.88 | -2.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 26.21 | 26.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |