← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Dec 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Regensburg win | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Thomas Isherwood · Darmstadt |
| 46' | 🟨 | Carlo Boukhalfa · Regensburg |
| 70' | ⚽ | Emir Karić · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1632.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1471.39 | 1591.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.35 | 26.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.72 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |