← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Dec 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Hannover win | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| SV Werder Bremen +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Christian Groß · SV Werder Bremen |
| 34' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Leonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Niklas Hult · Hannover |
| 72' | ⚽ | Anthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ilia Gruev · SV Werder Bremen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 18.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1444.99 | 1560.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.27 | 17.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |