← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.75 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · FC Schalke 04 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Reinhold Ranftl · FC Schalke 04 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 80' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · FC Schalke 04 |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 30 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 170.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1584.12 | 1536.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.09 | 0.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | 1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 19.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 25.32 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |