← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 38% | 2.81 |
| Karlsruhe win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 51% | 2.03 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 8' | ⚽ | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 39' | ⚽ | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 680.00 | 5216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1478.86 | 1508.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.92 | 29.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 21.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |