← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 62% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.61 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 16% | 6.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hansa Rostock −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 34' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 52' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 80' | 🟨 | Bentley Baxter Bahn · Hansa Rostock |
| 80' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 164.00 | 1076.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1577.39 | 1387.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.97 | 20.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.68 |
| league points | 26.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.83 | 28.42 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |