← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.73 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Dragoș Nedelcu · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 26' | 🟨 | Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 68' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jakub Piotrowski · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 710.00 | 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1524.84 | 1559.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.22 | 13.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 2.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |