← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 17% | 5.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −1 | 52% | 1.91 |
| SV Sandhausen −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel |
| 26' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · SV Sandhausen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Holstein Kiel |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alexander Esswein · SV Sandhausen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · SV Sandhausen |
| 65' | 🟨 | Lewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel |
| 65' | 🟨 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
| 72' | ⚽ | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marcel Ritzmaier · SV Sandhausen |
| 89' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| Charlison Benschop · SV Sandhausen |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 71.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1481.06 | 1371.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.02 | -7.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 29.28 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |