← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Darmstadt win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 62' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marcel Mehlem · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 81' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 163.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1550.20 | 1580.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.54 | 26.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.81 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -1.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |