← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Dec 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 |
| Regensburg win | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| SV Werder Bremen +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 39' | ⚽ | Leonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen |
| 59' | ⚽ | Marco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Leon Guwara · Regensburg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 72' | 🟨 | Anthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 1623.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1481.12 | 1550.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.06 | 5.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 28.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |