← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Dec 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Nurnberg win | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · FC Schalke 04 |
| 49' | ⚽ | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 66' | ⚽ (og) | Manuel Schäffler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 85' | ⚽ | Darko Churlinov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 284.00 | 527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1523.05 | 1508.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.45 | -16.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.77 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 26.34 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |