← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Dec 4, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Bokop
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Ingolstadt win | 16% | 6.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Hansa Rostock −1 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Bentley Baxter Bahn · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 41' | ⚽ | Thomas Keller · Ingolstadt |
| 46' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 49' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nico Antonitsch · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Haris Duljević · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 1068.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1389.96 | 1373.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.73 | -33.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.71 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.42 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |