← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Dec 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 41' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 76' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tim Christopher Oberdorf · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 155.00 | 702.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1602.30 | 1503.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.64 | -31.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 28.46 |
| state index | 1.12 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |