← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Nov 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 27' | ⚽ | Simon Rhein · Hansa Rostock |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 150.00 | 1062.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1559.58 | 1384.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.93 | 7.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 25.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 28.70 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |