← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Hannover win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 10' | 🟨 | Niklas Hult · Hannover |
| 17' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 23' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 27' | ⚽ | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 29' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 665.00 | 757.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1482.64 | 1435.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.35 | -16.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 45.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |