← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 27, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 25% | 3.99 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0.5 | 51% | 2.04 |
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Darmstadt |
| 85' | ⚽ | Antonio Jonjić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 26.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1418.89 | 1595.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.78 | 56.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 26.31 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -1.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |