← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Ingolstadt win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ingolstadt +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ (og) | Christoph Kobald · Ingolstadt |
| 42' | ⚽ | Dominik Kother · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| coach days | 630.00 | 659.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1378.77 | 1483.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.44 | -19.90 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 28.79 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |