← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 38% | 2.54 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 18' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 39' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 41' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 63' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nemanja Celic · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 24 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 142.00 | 507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1581.71 | 1548.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.62 | 56.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 23.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 21.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 26.24 |
| state index | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |