← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Regensburg win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Faride Alidou · Hamburger SV |
| 61' | 🟨 | Scott Kennedy · Regensburg |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 83' | 🟨 | Anssi Suhonen · Hamburger SV |
| 85' | 🟨 | Christoph Moritz · Regensburg |
| 87' | ⚽ | Anssi Suhonen · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 142.00 | 1603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.24 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1573.13 | 1497.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.31 | 13.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 13.71 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.78 | 25.30 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |