← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Nov 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 40% | 2.45 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
| 44' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 67' | 🟥 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 749.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1433.12 | 1561.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.45 | 16.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 13.21 | 13.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 27.71 | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |