← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.13 |
| Ingolstadt win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt −1 | 55% | 1.77 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Fatih Kaya · Ingolstadt |
| 81' | 🟨 | Fatih Kaya · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 128.00 | 615.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1557.40 | 1382.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.22 | -42.91 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | -1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.58 |
| league points | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 27.06 |
| state index | -0.00 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |