← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 15' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 34' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 49' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Hansa Rostock |
| 52' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 70' | 🟨 | Thomas Meissner · Hansa Rostock |
| 71' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Hansa Rostock |
| 72' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 78' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| coach days | 1589.00 | 1040.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1512.74 | 1380.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.59 | 14.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 29.06 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |