← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Hannover win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 18' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 71' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 675.00 | 736.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1532.76 | 1428.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.20 | -33.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 41.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |