← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Oct 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Karlsruhe win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 23' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tim Breithaupt · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 76' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 638.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1498.78 | 1541.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.99 | -3.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |