← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Oct 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Ingolstadt win | 29% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Regensburg +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | David Otto · Regensburg |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kaan Caliskaner · Regensburg |
| 74' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| coach days | 609.00 | 1583.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1398.44 | 1497.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.94 | 22.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.42 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 5.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.83 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.45 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 26.20 |
| state index | -1.23 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |