← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 11' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 13' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 36' | 🟨 | Omar Sijaric · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Hannover |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 729.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1431.62 | 1388.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.13 | -11.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 28.00 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |