← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Oct 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.41 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 21' | 🟨 | Niklas Hult · Hannover |
| 22' | ⚽ | Carlo Boukhalfa · Regensburg |
| 54' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joel Zwarts · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1576.00 | 723.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1486.55 | 1442.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.63 | 13.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 46.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |