← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Dresden win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Chris Löwe · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yaroslav Mikhailov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Michael Sollbauer · Dresden |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 236.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1537.39 | 1415.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.29 | -10.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 41.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.65 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.69 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |