← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Darmstadt win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Mikkel Kirkeskov · Holstein Kiel |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 39' | 🟨 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 41' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 50' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 66' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 76' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 22.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1476.52 | 1554.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.58 | 14.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 2.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 26.14 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |