← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (og) | Philip Heise · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 22' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 62' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 86' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 661.00 | 630.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1534.64 | 1510.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.48 | -2.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 29.26 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |