← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Oct 15, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Regensburg win | 26% | 3.85 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 14' | 🟨 | Sarpreet Singh · Regensburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Carlo Boukhalfa · Regensburg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Otto · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 106.00 | 1567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1556.65 | 1482.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.56 | -6.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 13.21 | 13.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |