← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Oct 15, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 37% | 2.76 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · Hannover |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 81' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 1 | Shots | 22 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 714.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1451.79 | 1527.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.85 | 37.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.20 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 12.92 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.69 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 25.86 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |