← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Oct 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 |
| Ingolstadt win | 14% | 6.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Schalke 04 −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Ingolstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mehmet Aydin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 216.00 | 581.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1517.92 | 1417.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.39 | -19.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.77 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 25.35 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |