← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Karlsruhe win | 30% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 58' | ⚽ | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1554.00 | 609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1484.03 | 1503.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.31 | -18.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |