← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 31' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 42' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 49' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 83' | 🟨 | Markus Kolke · Hansa Rostock |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 998.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1365.63 | 1506.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.36 | -3.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.86 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.73 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.71 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.85 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |