← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 40% | 2.45 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Marius Gersbeck · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 58' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 79' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 6 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 602.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1522.69 | 1491.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.76 | 15.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |