← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Bokop
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 26% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 27' | 🟥 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 29' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 42' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 46' | 🟨 | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 46' | 🟨 | Stefan Thesker · Holstein Kiel |
| 51' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 78' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jasper van der Werff · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 86.00 | 755.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1558.62 | 1486.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.58 | -31.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| league points | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |