← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Sep 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Darmstadt win | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · Darmstadt |
| 33' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
| 52' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 84' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Norman Theuerkauf · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5137.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1514.77 | 1531.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.47 | 19.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 27.29 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |