← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Sep 19, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Dresden win | 27% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟥 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 14' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 41' | 🟨 | Chris Löwe · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Agyemang Diawusie · Dresden |
| 54' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Julius Kade · Dresden |
| 72' | 🟨 | Julius Kade · Dresden |
| 72' | 🟥 | Julius Kade · Dresden |
| 74' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Dresden |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michael Sollbauer · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 80.00 | 658.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1526.33 | 1419.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.91 | 13.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 26.76 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |