← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Róbert Boženík · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 58' | 🟨 | Róbert Boženík · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 62' | 🟨 | Kaan Caliskaner · Regensburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 68' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 626.00 | 1540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1538.38 | 1474.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.78 | 38.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |