← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Sep 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 59' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Thomas Meissner · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 443.00 | 990.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1495.52 | 1370.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.40 | 22.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.83 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.60 | 28.80 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |